Google Search Volume: Expected to Decline by 25% by 2026


A recent forecast by Gartner anticipates a 25% decrease in search engine volume by 2026, influenced by AI technologies and changes in user behavior.


  1. Published: Monday, March 18, 2024
  2. Updated on: Friday, January 17, 2025
  3. by Oliver Godolt

Estimation of Google Search Engine Volume Decline by 2026


Gartner’s Digital Marketing Study: Key Insights

Digital marketing is evolving rapidly, and according to a recent Gartner report, traditional search engine volume is projected to decline by 25% by 2026. This shift is largely driven by changes in consumer behavior, the rise of AI-driven search experiences, and the increasing dominance of alternative discovery platforms.

Key Findings from Gartner’s Study:

  • 25% Decline in Traditional Search: Fewer users rely on search engines like Google for information.
  • Rise of AI & Conversational Search: Tools like ChatGPT, Google Bard, and Bing AI are reshaping information retrieval.
  • Shift to Social Search: Platforms like TikTok, Instagram, and YouTube are becoming preferred discovery channels.
  • Changes in Paid Advertising: Brands are reallocating ad spend from Google Ads to other networks.

Why Is Search Engine Volume Declining?


Traditional search engines like Google have dominated digital marketing for decades, but their traffic is declining due to several factors:

Factor Explanation
AI-Powered Search Users are turning to AI chatbots like ChatGPT and Google Bard for direct answers instead of browsing search results.
Social Media as Search More users (especially Gen Z) are searching for products and recommendations on TikTok, Instagram, and YouTube.
Voice Search Growth Smart assistants like Alexa and Google Assistant are handling more search queries via voice commands.
Zero-Click Searches Google's own features (Featured Snippets, Knowledge Graph) provide answers without users clicking on external sites.

Impact on SEM & SEO Strategies

As search engine usage declines, businesses must rethink their SEO and SEM (Search Engine Marketing) strategies. Here’s how the shift affects key areas:

  • SEO Shift to AI Optimization: Content must be optimized not just for Google but for AI models like ChatGPT and Google Bard.
  • Video & Social Search: Brands need strong presence on TikTok, YouTube, and Instagram for organic discovery.
  • Google Ads Performance Changes: Lower search volume may lead to rising CPCs (cost-per-click) as competition for ad space increases.

The Future of Digital Marketing Beyond Traditional Search

With traditional search declining, new digital marketing opportunities are emerging:


1.

AI & Conversational Search

Optimizing content for AI-driven answers will be essential. Structured data, FAQ pages, and AI-friendly content formats will help brands stay visible.

2.

Social Media & Short-Form Video

SEO strategies should extend beyond websites to TikTok, Instagram Reels, and YouTube Shorts, where users actively search for recommendations.

3.

Voice & Multimodal Search

With voice search on the rise, brands should optimize content for spoken queries and structure data to match voice search patterns.


  • Invest in Video Content: Publish short-form videos with engaging hooks to attract organic discovery.
  • Leverage AI Search Optimization: Ensure your website answers AI-generated queries effectively.
  • Expand Beyond Google Ads: Experiment with TikTok Ads, Instagram Ads, and influencer marketing.

Final Thoughts

The digital marketing landscape is evolving fast. With traditional search engine volume expected to decline by 25%, brands must adapt to AI-powered search, video marketing, and alternative ad platforms. Businesses that embrace these changes early will gain a competitive advantage in the new digital ecosystem.


Sources:
- Gartner, 14.12.2023, Gartner Predicts 50% of Consumers Will Significantly Limit Their Interactions with Social Media by 2025
- Gartner, 14.12.2023, Gartner Predicts Search Engine Volume Will Drop 25% by 2026, Due to AI Chatbots and Other Virtual Agents



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